Intelligent Performance Marketing

Attribution Management: We Need Industry Standards

By David Herscott

Attribution Management is the latest attempt by marketing technology companies to provide advertisers and their agencies with a solution for tracking and valuing the slew of advertisements that lead up to an Ecommerce sale. Attribution Management has a more complete definition, but beware: this site is a ClearSaleing blog, one of the early technology leaders in the space.

Currently the default methodology is “last click,” meaning that regardless of the marketing messages that a consumer is exposed to, the last click – whether it be search, display, affiliate, email or other – gets the credit for the sale. In some ways not much has changed since the advent of modern advertising – brand marketers are still fighting it out with direct marketers to get the kudos (and the lion’s share of the budget). However, thanks to technology we can now create an entire picture of brand interaction prior to sale – well, sort of.

The technology has come a long way in a relatively short period of time, and attribution management can be an effective tool for Ecommerce marketers on the hook to show ROAS/ROI. However, the current challenge has less to do with technology and more to do with developing industry-accepted methodologies.

If you look at the early leaders – ClearSaleing (now a GSI/ebay company), C3 Metrics, Convertro and Adometry (you can even check out Visual IQ and Atlas) – you’ll notice that they all use similar attribution models. These models loosely include last click, equal attribution (eg 25/25/25/25); and a weighted-model that looks something like this: 60% credit to first exposure, 30% split among the second, third and/or fourth exposures and 10% to the last click. These companies also offer “custom models” which are algorithms based on prior results.

A Weighted Attribution Graph
Attribution Management companies often use a weighted model to track a buyer’s steps to make a purchase.

Whats wrong with the current models? Last click provides no real value – any basic web-analytics solution will give you that. Equal attribution is not based on anything other than indecision. The weighted model is interesting but I have yet to see any compelling consumer-behavior data that supports this model. The custom model obviously has the most promise but I think that technology providers need to be more transparent about how the model works so that we, as marketers, can make better decisions.

David Herscott is a Managing Partner at NetX. Contact David at David@netx.com.

Don’t Miss The Latest Headlines In The NetX Industry News Update!

Steve Jobs passes away while experts predict growth for this year’s holiday sales.  You can find these headlines and more in this week’s industry news update!

Apple Co-Founder Steve Jobs Passes Away
WashingtonPost.com
Steve Jobs, a co-founder of Apple Inc., has sadly passed away at the age of 56.  An original thinker who helped create the Macintosh also reinvented the portable music player with the iPod and reordered the cell phone market with the iPhone.  The introduction of the iPad also jump-started the tablet market, and now it dominates the field.

Holiday Sales to Rise 2.8% to $465 Billion
MediaPost.com
The National Retail Federation says it expects holiday spending to rise just 2.8% this year, to a total of $465.6 billion.  While that gain is far less than the 5.2% gain retailers saw last year, it is still above the 2.6% average of the last 10 years.  Retailers have posted sales gains for the last 14 months but ongoing concerns about the economy have them worried.

Google Analytics Adds Real-Time Traffic Data
Mashable.com
Google for the first time is providing a window into real-time web traffic with Google Analytics Real-Time.  Real-Time reports are available in the new version of Google Analytics, and administrators with Analytics accounts will get Real-Time reports.  For users trying to gauge how a campaign or post is performing, Real-Time will track the immediate impact to site traffic.

Mobile Ad Spend to Hit $1 Billion
SearchEngineWatch.com
According to eMarketer, mobile ad spending could reach $1.23 billion for U.S. advertisers by the end of the year, up 66% from last year’s $743 million figure.  They also predict that this figure will continue to see escalating growth, reaching $4.4 billion by 2015.

Google Launches Trusted Stores Program
InformationWeek.com
To ally doubts about the legitimacy of the e-commerce sites, Google has announced a new program to highlight exemplary online merchants.  Google Trusted Stores aspires to help shoppers recognize online stores that offer compelling shopping experiences.  Google has already begun admitting merchants into the program, which will require participating sites to share shipping and customer service data with Google.

Flash-sale E-mails Spark More Purchases When Sent Late in the Afternoon
InternetRetailer.com
Flash-sale e-mails sent after 3 P.M. generate more transactions and more revenue than e-mails sent out earlier in the day, according to an Experian CheetahMail analysis.  The data reveals that messages sent after 3 P.M. have an open rate 90% greater than e-mails sent at mid-day.  Late-day messages stand out more in consumers’ inboxes because fewer e-retailers send messages late in the day.

Be Sure To Catch All The Latest Headlines In The NetX Industry News Update!

Amazon announces their new tablet while Google releases the Google Wallet.  Don’t miss these headlines and more in this week’s industry news update!

Holiday Web Sales Expected to Grow 13.5%
InternetRetailer.com
U.S. web sales during the fourth quarter will hit $60.4 billion, up 13.5% from the $53.2 billion spent by online shoppers during the same period last year, predicts Kantar Retail.  The growth rate for the 2011 holiday shopping season will likely be a bit lower than the 16.5% increase registered in 2010, thanks in part to declining consumer confidence.

Amazon Launches New Tablet and Slashes Kindle Prices
Wired.com
Amazon has announced that they will be releasing a color, 7-inch tablet device called Fire for just $199.  The Fire is set to compete with Apple’s iPad by offering consumers an affordable and simpler tablet that is complimented by a powerful inventory of books, movies, television shows and digital tunes.  At the same time Amazon unveiled a new e-book reader called the Kindle Touch which will cost $149 and include Amazon Whispernet mobile connectivity.

Net Neutrality Rules Will Go Into Effect November 20th
EcommerceTimes.com
The Federal Communications Commission has published its long-awaited net neutrality rules, designed to generally prevent internet service providers from giving priority to certain forms of web traffic.  The heavily debated measures were approved in December, 2010 and will go into effect on November 20th.

Mobile Devices Expected to Aid Holiday Shopping
MediaPost.com
According to recently released data from the mobile ad network Mojiva, at least half of mobile consumers view their mobile device as a holiday shopping resource for product information, coupons and sale information.  The study also found that four in ten consumers feel comfortable spending $50 or more on a single holiday item using their mobile device.

Google Launches the Google Wallet
Googleblog.blogspot.com
Google has officially released the first version of the Google Wallet.  The Google Wallet stores virtual versions of a user’s payment cards, and leverages near field communication technology to allow users to tap, pay and save with their phone.  The app is currently available on Sprint Nexus S 4G phones but Google is looking to expand to more phones soon.

Bing Launches Deal Aggregator
DMNews.com
Bing has created an offer aggregator that lets consumers browse and sort through more than 200,000 discounts available from around the country.  Bing says it’s responding to 87% of consumers who said they’d increase their use of daily deals if they could find them in one place rather than sort through e-mails from multiple providers.

Google Expands Video Ad Options
ClickZ.com
Google wants video advertising to be as pervasive across its network as search and display ads are.  The company announced their plans to enable more integration between its AdWords and YouTube ad offerings for all advertisers.  Though the formats available do not all enable video to play directly within the ads, Google hopes the offerings will expand inventory for video ad buyers and inspire more advertisers to use video ads.